Document Type

Article

Publication Date

11-1-2025

Abstract

In this paper we describe the spatial data challenges faced in terms of providing accurate and timely analysis for a clinic during a cholera epidemic that spread through Port au Prince, Haiti in late 2022. This “triage” spatial epidemiology involved developing a bespoke geocoder that allowed for weekly maps of spread to be created in near real time. Resulting case data were also analyzed using a novel grid heatmapping approach which considers the epidemiological curve for each neighborhood. Adding further complexity during this period to both the data generation, and explaining cholera amplification and spread patterns, was a rising gang presence in the Port au Prince neighborhoods. Results identify a coastal pattern of amplification, which is expected given the informal settlement style living environments found in many of these neighborhoods. A second pattern then emerges of spread along a western and southern axis, which is far better captured in the grid heat mapping approach because of the lower numbers of patients seeking care at the clinic. The combination of traditional cartography and grid heat mapping help reveal the overall pattern of the epidemic, while also identifying key neighborhoods that require additional epidemiological investigation. Knowing why these neighborhoods played such an important role, possibly due to specific gang activity, is important in terms of understanding future disease spread in and around Port au Prince. Indeed, results presented can help contextualize official cholera reporting in 2025 where data availability is still hampered by ongoing gang rule.

Keywords

cholera, epidemic response, grid heat map, Haiti

Language

English

Publication Title

Spatial and Spatio Temporal Epidemiology

Rights

© 2025, The Author(s). This is an Open Access work distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Share

COinS
 

Manuscript Version

Final Publisher Version

 

To view the content in your browser, please download Adobe Reader or, alternately,
you may Download the file to your hard drive.

NOTE: The latest versions of Adobe Reader do not support viewing PDF files within Firefox on Mac OS and if you are using a modern (Intel) Mac, there is no official plugin for viewing PDF files within the browser window.