Research Reports from the Department of Operations

Document Type

Report

Publication Date

11-1-1979

Abstract

In response to rising inflation, investors are increasingly exploring commodity futures for higher returns. This study examines the dynamics of managed commodity futures accounts, focusing on two investor classes: active portfolio managers and passive investors relying on professional advisors. It identifies the challenges investors face in selecting advisors, highlighting the need for detailed advisor information and comparative analyses. Additionally, it addresses the complexities of constructing optimal portfolios of advisors or investments in open-ended commodity pools to balance risk and reward. The authors conducted a three-month study (ending June 1979) aiming to develop a quantitative investment system for designing portfolios that maximize future expected returns based on past performance records. Challenges in implementing both naive and refined methodologies for portfolio optimization are discussed. This work underscores the lack of systematic approaches to portfolio design in commodity futures, offering insights for investors seeking tailored strategies.

Keywords

Operations research, Portfolio management, Investment advisors, Risk management, Inflation (Finance), Mathematical optimization, Investment analysis--Mathematical models

Publication Title

Technical Memorandums from the Department of Operations, School of Management, Case Western Reserve University

Issue

Technical memorandum no. 461

Rights

This work is in the public domain and may be freely downloaded for personal or academic use

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