Research Reports from the Department of Operations

Authors

Woo-young Lee

Document Type

Dissertation

Publication Date

5-1-1982

Abstract

This thesis provides a framework in R&D system management consisting of computer-based analytical models for use in technology transfer and R&D planning of a developing country's military weapons systems development. The models involve integer nonlinear programming (INLP) and interactive goal programming (IGP) approaches. Also, the thesis utilizes: (1) A component sharing R&D network to identify probabilistic interdependencies among systems components and technical approaches. (2) A weapon effectiveness indices/weighted unit value (WEI/WUV) method to evaluate potential benefits of weapons systems, if funded. (3) Network planning techniques to assess probabilities of technical success and to integrate technology forecasting, technology catch-up, and time-cost tradeoff procedures. (4) Scenario situations to evaluate both alternative plans and different allocations of resources. Two mathematical models are developed: (1) An integer nonlinear programming (INLP) model for use in the selection of technical alternatives, funding of components, and development of optimal risk-cost tradeoffs among military systems. (2) An interactive goal programming model (IGP) for use in multiple objective benefit evaluation. Also, the computer-based algorithms to solve both models are developed. The use of the models are illustrated in the development of optimum risk, cost and benefit tradeoffs among several military weapon systems/components development programs. The general contribution of this thesis to the resolution of the R&D planning problem in an industrialized developing country is the development of an analytical framework that utilizes operations research techniques and addresses major R&D allocation issues. The framework is responsive to any national planning and budgetary system used by a country, such as CBS and PPBS. Data requirements of the model are consistent with those available in a typical military R&D environment. Currently the model is capable of solving a moderately sized R&D planning problem, and computer programs have been developed and tested on a large DEC-20 computer.

Keywords

Operations research, Military research--Planning, Technology transfer--Developing countries, Weapons systems--Research, Decision support systems, Programming (Mathematics), Resource allocation--Mathematical models, Developing countries--Military policy, Cost effectiveness

Publication Title

Dissertation, Department of Operations, School of Management, Case Western Reserve University

Issue

Technical memorandum no. 509 ; Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy.

Rights

This work is in the public domain and may be freely downloaded for personal or academic use

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